Innovation
Any idea, practice, or object perceived as new by an individual or unit of adoption. Innovations are evaluated by potential adopters along dimensions of relative advantage, compatibility, complexity, trialability, and observability.
A Framework for Development Economics
Diffusion of Innovations is a seminal theory developed by Everett M. Rogers that examines how new ideas, technologies, and practices spread through social systems over time. First published in 1962, it has become one of the most influential frameworks in behavioral science—with particular relevance to understanding technological adoption, productivity gaps, and development outcomes in emerging economies.
Rogers defines diffusion as the process by which an innovation is communicated through certain channels over time among the participants in a social system. The theory synthesizes research from anthropology, rural sociology, education, and medical sociology, and has been applied extensively in development studies, agricultural extension, and health promotion.
Rogers identified five main elements that influence the spread of a new idea:
Any idea, practice, or object perceived as new by an individual or unit of adoption. Innovations are evaluated by potential adopters along dimensions of relative advantage, compatibility, complexity, trialability, and observability.
The minimal unit of analysis—typically individuals, but also organizations, clusters within social networks, or countries. Adopter characteristics (motivation, ability, connectedness) shape adoption likelihood.
Mechanisms that allow the transfer of information between parties. Diffusion requires established communication patterns; mass media and interpersonal networks serve distinct roles in the process.
The passage of time is necessary for adoption—innovations are rarely adopted instantaneously. In Ryan and Gross's 1943 hybrid corn study, adoption occurred over more than a decade.
The combination of external influences (mass media, mandates) and internal influences (social relationships, opinion leadership). Social structure and norms constrain or facilitate diffusion.
Diffusion follows an S-curve over time. Rogers classified adopters into five categories based on innovativeness:
| Category | Characteristics |
|---|---|
| Innovators | Willing to take risks; highest social status; financial liquidity; closest contact to scientific sources. Risk tolerance allows adoption of technologies that may fail. |
| Early Adopters | Highest degree of opinion leadership; higher social status and education; judicious in adoption choices; maintain central communication position. |
| Early Majority | Adopt after significantly longer period than innovators; above average social status; contact with early adopters; seldom opinion leaders. |
| Late Majority | Skeptical; adopt after average participant; below average social status; little financial liquidity; little opinion leadership. |
| Laggards | Last to adopt; focused on traditions; lowest social status and financial liquidity; oldest among adopters; limited social contact. |
The point at which an innovation reaches critical mass—when adoption becomes self-sustaining—often lies at the boundary between early adopters and early majority. This "marketing chasm" represents the gap between niche appeal and mass adoption.
Individuals move through five stages when deciding whether to adopt an innovation:
The diffusion framework has particular relevance for developing countries. Research demonstrates that diffusion patterns can widen socio-economic and informational gaps within populations—the so-called digital divide and analogous gaps in agricultural technology, health practices, and financial inclusion.
Studies examine how technological innovation and diffusion of best-practice techniques affect productivity gaps between developed and developing countries. Uneven diffusion contributes to persistent income divergence.
The agricultural extension model—disseminating hybrid seeds, improved techniques, and pest management—represents a practical application of diffusion principles. Ryan and Gross's 1943 Iowa hybrid corn study remains foundational.
Diffusion research informs health promotion, family planning, and sanitation campaigns. Failures—such as Rogers's Los Molinos boiling-water case in Peru—highlight the importance of compatibility with local norms and communication channels.
Modern research addresses pro-innovation bias, individual-blame bias, and equality concerns. Not all innovations benefit all groups equally; diffusion can reinforce existing inequalities when access is stratified.